How high will the price of a gallon of gasoline go? Regular grade gasoline is at or above $4.00 a gallon across the United States now, and crude oil is hovering in the $135 a barrel range. In fact, gasoline is close to $5.00 a gallon in some areas, and diesel fuel is averaging just about $5.00 a gallon across the nation.
At these prices, you’d think a whole squadron of singing “Texaco men” would descend on your car when you pull into the service station, cleaning your windshield, checking your tire pressure and oil level and polishing your headlights. As the jingle promised, “You can trust your car to the man who wears the star… The big, red Texaco star” (or maybe it was “the big, bright Texaco star”). Today though, all you’re likely to find at your local gas station are self-service pumps. If you’re lucky enough to find an air hose to inflate your tires, you’ll probably have to pay for the air and do it yourself.
This gasoline price graph is linked from this U.S. Dept of Energy EIA page, and
should display their current data. For EIA’s Diesel Fuel price history, click here.
We have previously questioned what a flareup in Middle East tensions might do to the price of crude oil. In today’s news, there was speculation that an Israeli military exercise earlier this month may have been a not too subtle hint that they may be preparing to (or at least want to appear to be preparing to) attack nuclear facilities in Iran.
There has been speculation that if Iran reacted to an attack by blockading shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, the price of crude oil on the world market could quickly hit $300 a barrel. The Strait of Hormuz is a 21-mile-wide strategically important body of water between Iran on the North, and the United Arab Emirates and Oman on the South. It is the only shipping route for much of the oil exported from the Persian Gulf.
Just how serious is the threat of an attack on Iran? Mohamed ElBaradei, head of the United Nations’ International Atomic Energy Agency, said in an Interview on Arab television on June 21st, that “any military strike on Iran could turn the Mideast to a ball of fire” (see CNN article). This raises the possibility that the United States, the United Nations, or an international coalition might take military action to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to shipping to keep oil flowing.
The brilliant mathematicians at RoutingByRumor (they stay in our ivory tower) figure that a $300 barrel of crude oil would equate to a gallon of gasoline in the $10 to $12 range. That is, if you are able to buy it at all. Could you imagine the prospect of a $200.00 fill-up at your local gas station? We think the oil companies might have to start using armored cars to deliver the gasoline to their stations. Carjackings might become commonplace, not for the vehicle, but for the contents of it’s gas tank. Imagine what these stratospheric fuel prices would do to the American economy, which is already hurting because of the price of oil.
What we think future gasoline deliveries might look like !
For many Americans, we think gasoline at $10.00 a gallon would quite literally make it too expensive to commute to work (unless they are lucky enough to be driving one of these vehicles). Many Americans without access to public transportation would simply be better off staying home. Imagine what $10.00 gasoline will do to food prices, already spiraling out of control because of the current price of crude oil. People unfortunate enough to have oil heat will be unable to heat their homes.
So there you have it… Record high gasoline prices, military posturing by Israel towards Iran, warnings of an apocalyptic conflagration in the Mideast, and the supply of crude oil from the region hanging in the balance. Things do not look good for oil or gasoline prices or an uninterrupted supply.
You know, that old pair of inline skates in the attic, and that rusty old Schwinn in the garage are looking better every day now. Or maybe we will get a Delorean like the one from Back To The Future, with a “Mr. Fusion” Home Energy Reactor that can run on banana peels and half-empty cans of beer.
Dr. Emmett Brown (Christopher Lloyd) fuels up his Delorean’s fusion
reactor with banana peels and beer, in Back To The Future
– Routing By Rumor